Got to mainline a day at KSC visitor center, then watched the f9 launch over the water as close as possible, and the reentry burn, then visited the last f9 booster sitting on the droneship in the port, and an hour and a half later watched the crew-6 reentry streak across the sky while eating key lime pie. Good day.
 

diabol1k

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NSF did a good job filling in for the SpaceX stream. Might be annoying watching starship launches though.
I guess I’ll just put up with Tim Dodd’s stream for notable things (like Starship, I expect that will continue) since he usually mirrors the official stream during the important parts.
 

Dr Nno

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I guess I’ll just put up with Tim Dodd’s stream for notable things (like Starship, I expect that will continue) since he usually mirrors the official stream during the important parts.
And will he mirror the X stream? If yes, what will be the quality/stability of the stream? I'll bet on NSF or LabPadre streams for a better coverage.
 

Skoop

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FAA Closes SpaceX Starship Mishap Investigation

Friday, September 8, 2023

The FAA has closed the SpaceX Starship Super Heavy mishap investigation. The final report cites multiple root causes of the April 20, 2023, mishap and 63 corrective actions SpaceX must take to prevent mishap reoccurrence. Corrective actions include redesigns of vehicle hardware to prevent leaks and fires, redesign of the launch pad to increase its robustness, incorporation of additional reviews in the design process, additional analysis and testing of safety critical systems and components including the Autonomous Flight Safety System, and the application of additional change control practices.
The closure of the mishap investigation does not signal an immediate resumption of Starship launches at Boca Chica. SpaceX must implement all corrective actions that impact public safety and apply for and receive a license modification from the FAA that addresses all safety, environmental and other applicable regulatory requirements prior to the next Starship launch.
Here.
 

Skoop

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September 8, 2023
UPGRADES AHEAD OF STARSHIP’S SECOND FLIGHT TEST
The first flight test of a fully integrated Starship and Super Heavy was a critical step in advancing the capabilities of the most powerful launch system ever developed. Starship’s first flight test provided numerous lessons learned that are directly contributing to several upgrades being made to both the vehicle and ground infrastructure to improve the probability of success on future Starship flights. This rapid iterative development approach has been the basis for all of SpaceX’s major innovative advancements, including Falcon, Dragon, and Starlink. SpaceX has led the investigation efforts following the flight with oversight from the FAA and participation from NASA and the National Transportation and Safety Board.

Starship and Super Heavy successfully lifted off for the first time on April 20, 2023 at 8:33 a.m. CT (13:33:09 UTC) from the orbital launch pad at Starbase in Texas. Starship climbed to a maximum altitude of ~39 km (24 mi) over the Gulf of Mexico. During ascent, the vehicle sustained fires from leaking propellant in the aft end of the Super Heavy booster, which eventually severed connection with the vehicle’s primary flight computer. This led to a loss of communications to the majority of booster engines and, ultimately, control of the vehicle. SpaceX has since implemented leak mitigations and improved testing on both engine and booster hardware. As an additional corrective action, SpaceX has significantly expanded Super Heavy’s pre-existing fire suppression system in order to mitigate against future engine bay fires.
Here.

There is more to this quote, but the forum won't accept the paste. Could be related to the word "system" being in there. (See the Feedback forum for a thread on "system" being an issue.)
 

AbidingArs

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812
Subscriptor++
Here.

There is more to this quote, but the forum won't accept the paste. Could be related to the word "system" being in there. (See the Feedback forum for a thread on "system" being an issue.)
Complete text from that site (spoilered for size below), replacing parentheses with brackets where they were causing problems. At the risk of seeming like ChatGPT (but it seems wrong to just dump the quote and run), the corrective actions seem to be:
  • leak mitigations and improved testing on both engine and booster hardware
  • significantly expanded Super Heavy’s pre-existing fire suppression system in order to mitigate against future engine bay fires
  • enhanced and requalified the Autonomous Flight Safety System [the flight termination device] to improve system reliability.
  • significant upgrades to the orbital launch mount and pad system including significant reinforcements to the pad foundation and the addition of a flame deflector
There were some other changes unrelated to the issues noted:
  • hot-stage separation system, in which Starship’s second stage engines will ignite to push the ship away from the booster
  • new electronic Thrust Vector Control (TVC) system for Super Heavy Raptor engines making them fully electric (it sounds like this just means no hydraulics control them?)
SEPTEMBER 8, 2023
UPGRADES AHEAD OF STARSHIP’S SECOND FLIGHT TEST
The first flight test of a fully integrated Starship and Super Heavy was a critical step in advancing the capabilities of the most powerful launch system ever developed. Starship’s first flight test provided numerous lessons learned that are directly contributing to several upgrades being made to both the vehicle and ground infrastructure to improve the probability of success on future Starship flights. This rapid iterative development approach has been the basis for all of SpaceX’s major innovative advancements, including Falcon, Dragon, and Starlink. SpaceX has led the investigation efforts following the flight with oversight from the FAA and participation from NASA and the National Transportation and Safety Board.

Starship and Super Heavy successfully lifted off for the first time on April 20, 2023 at 8:33 a.m. CT (13:33:09 UTC) from the orbital launch pad at Starbase in Texas. Starship climbed to a maximum altitude of ~39 km (24 mi) over the Gulf of Mexico. During ascent, the vehicle sustained fires from leaking propellant in the aft end of the Super Heavy booster, which eventually severed connection with the vehicle’s primary flight computer. This led to a loss of communications to the majority of booster engines and, ultimately, control of the vehicle. SpaceX has since implemented leak mitigations and improved testing on both engine and booster hardware. As an additional corrective action, SpaceX has significantly expanded Super Heavy’s pre-existing fire suppression system in order to mitigate against future engine bay fires.

The Autonomous Flight Safety System [AFSS] automatically issued a destruct command, which fired all detonators as expected, after the vehicle deviated from the expected trajectory, lost altitude and began to tumble. After an unexpected delay following AFSS activation, Starship ultimately broke up 237.474 seconds after engine ignition. SpaceX has enhanced and requalified the AFSS to improve system reliability.

SpaceX is also implementing a full suite of system performance upgrades unrelated to any issues observed during the first flight test. For example, SpaceX has built and tested a hot-stage separation system, in which Starship’s second stage engines will ignite to push the ship away from the booster. Additionally, SpaceX has engineered a new electronic Thrust Vector Control (TVC) system for Super Heavy Raptor engines. Using fully electric motors, the new system has fewer potential points of failure and is significantly more energy efficient than traditional hydraulic systems.

SpaceX also made significant upgrades to the orbital launch mount and pad system in order to prevent a recurrence of the pad foundation failure observed during the first flight test. These upgrades include significant reinforcements to the pad foundation and the addition of a flame deflector, which SpaceX has successfully tested multiple times.

Testing development flight hardware in a flight environment is what enables our teams to quickly learn and execute design changes and hardware upgrades to improve the probability of success in the future. We learned a tremendous amount about the vehicle and ground systems during Starship’s first flight test. Recursive improvement is essential as we work to build a fully reusable launch system capable of carrying satellites, payloads, crew, and cargo to a variety of orbits and Earth, lunar, or Martian landing sites.
 
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Ildatch

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So how many of the 63 corrective actions have already been addressed by the changes? Specifically, is SpaceX going to have to unstack and make changes, or just apply for the license mod?
Probably most of them, and probably no unstacking.


View: https://twitter.com/SpaceAbhi/status/1700201198941515881


I've seen dozens of "Twitter experts" misunderstand this (often time by adding "Breaking..." to their post for extra clicks) so let me reiterate and further explain what Chris details below.

SpaceX LEADS the investigation. SpaceX issues the corrective actions. They pre-write a mishap investigation plan before they even launch. Then they execute their plan if they have an actual mishap. The FAA formally reviews the plan and also the investigation results and SpaceX-recommended corrective actions (but...informally they already know what's coming because of close coordination). The FAA provides feedback, and could recommend adding something if warranted. Their main job is to verify and enforce that SpaceX does what SpaceX said it will do once they approve the final report. In reality, 90% or more of corrective actions may be finished before the report is even formally submitted. Just depends on how well the root cause(s) are understood and easy to fix.

The general public often believes the FAA writes all the corrective actions and has a large team of people conducting the investigation with a heavy hand (e.g. "the big bad government"). No way. I doubt that will ever be the case for any mishap or anomaly. That is simply not how the government is staffed.

The FAA (and their NASA colleagues who have the relevant technical expertise) are typically in super close contact with the SpaceX team through the head of SpaceX Flight Reliability (where the chief engineers reside).

The statements released by the government are usually kept vague but factual, often to the great dismay of social and traditional media (as well as "stans") who want a juicy bite, ideally brimming with conflict. It is in a government agency's best interest to maintain flexibility and work with who they are overseeing...while keeping the politicians and click-bait journalists and influencers away. Inflammatory statements could rally politicians to one side or the other, and then SpaceX and the FAA's job could become charged and harder. Many people want to see that happen for many reasons.

If the final approval stalls, often times it is over a corrective action that was too open to interpretation. As an example of what I mean, if a corrective action is worded as such:
"Redesign of the launch pad to increase its robustness."
Ooh boy. So you want to break that down into discrete actions defining what "robustness" means.
 

Ecmaster76

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I literally don't remember how I signed up for these notifications. Just came in.

"Dear Interested Party:

SpaceX conducted a test flight of the Starship/Super Heavy at Boca Chica, TX on April 20, 2023. As a result of that launch, SpaceX completed a mishap investigation with FAA oversight; this investigation analyzed the launch, mishap events, and corrective actions. Before it is authorized to conduct a second Starship/Super Heavy launch, SpaceX must obtain a modified license from the FAA that addresses all safety, environmental, and other regulatory requirements. As part of that license application determination process, the FAA will review new environmental information, including changes related to the launch pad, as well as other proposed vehicle and flight modifications. The FAA will complete a Written Reevaluation (WR) to the 2022 Programmatic Environmental Assessment (PEA) evaluating the new environmental information, including Endangered Species Act consultation with the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. If the FAA determines through the WR process that the contents of the PEA do not remain valid in light of the changes proposed for Flight 2, additional environmental review will be required. Accordingly, the FAA has not authorized SpaceX’s proposed Flight 2.

The FAA will provide updates with notification of any license determination or results of additional environmental review.

Thank you,

The FAA SpaceX Boca Chica Project Team

Federal Aviation Administration, Office of Commercial Space Transportation | SpaceX Boca Chica, c/o 9300 Lee Highway, Fairfax, VA 22031"
 

AbidingArs

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812
Subscriptor++
I literally don't remember how I signed up for these notifications. Just came in.
I'm not sure, but after some searching I found a post from NasaSpaceFlight forums that claims it was from commenting on the PEA (I think the preliminary environmental assessment). I wasn't able to find if there was a way to sign up for notifications outside of having commented during that period.
 
I'm not sure, but after some searching I found a post from NasaSpaceFlight forums that claims it was from commenting on the PEA (I think the preliminary environmental assessment). I wasn't able to find if there was a way to sign up for notifications outside of having commented during that period.
Nice! I do remember commenting on the PEA.
 

zeotherm

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I figured I could get away with a cutesy nickname since we aren’t in the soap box
/// OFFICIAL MODERATION NOTICE ///

Look, we're not in the Soapbox, but we are supposed to focus on science and technology. Let's strive to avoid the shit that was done to (some, many of (?)) us in school and be better than that.

EDIT: Just clarifying that I don't think a mild swipe at someone akin to Musk is the same, just I would rather we focus in here on the engineering, tech, and science :)

EDIT2: accidentally a word
 
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demultiplexer

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It is interesting that they only way to have a profitable comm network LEO constellation is to basically first build a profitable launch company and launch your own satellites.
Both are questionable, right? SpaceX isn't really profitable as a commercial company because of its heavy reliance on a legacy market to begin with (with lots of 'at any cost' military and public payloads) and Starlink is kind of an inherently fucked business model with their finances really only working at very high subscription prices (and retention) compared to ground-based internet that is probably better.

I'm not saying either SX or SL aren't useful or profitable, just that there are some very specific circumstances that they need to be profitable, crucially circumstances that rely heavily on non-competitive circumstances.
 
Both are questionable, right? SpaceX isn't really profitable as a commercial company because of its heavy reliance on a legacy market to begin with (with lots of 'at any cost' military and public payloads) and Starlink is kind of an inherently fucked business model with their finances really only working at very high subscription prices (and retention) compared to ground-based internet that is probably better.
I question your economic analysis.

1) The SpaceX launch segment is VERY profitable despite being both the cheapest and most reliable ride to orbit. Your 'legacy market' comment makes no sense - least not with considerably more detail and support.

2) Starlink was never intended to compete with high speed ground-based internet. It is meant to compete with GEO internet, which offers much poorer service. Outside some edge cases, Starlink prices are very competitive against GEO internet.
 

BitPoet

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To expand on 1) They also increased the market They're doing more launches than anyone else by a huge margin, and not only their own stuff. Their current status is "if you build it, we'll put it into space for you". The market shifted between very few satellites all pushing for launches, to everyone gets a ride, and it's cheaper than everyone else.

*You may have to ride-share if you don't mind, but that'll be cheaper too.
 

PsionEdge

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You're never going to be profitable if you get ULA to launch your birds for you.
I don't think I'm convinced a LEO constellation from an outside company would be profitable even if they got SpaceX to launch them.

Starlink is definitely going to be in a position of advantage over challengers, unless Musk does what he did with twitter and turn something that operates similar to a utility into a space to platform what he favors. Unfortunately, I think it is entirely realistic he would think to block services or content that are competitors to his owned interests or various geopolitical views on the Starlink service. We already saw his willingness to engage in this type of behavior by compromising service with regards to Ukraine.
 
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.劉煒

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I don't think I'm convinced a LEO constellation from an outside company would be profitable even if they got SpaceX to launch them.
Idk. Maybe a 10% cost advantage for internal vs external costs. And SpX has published prices for launch (with extra costs added on for high oversight/choosing boosters/etc (aka gov customers)) . I doubt that they'd go platform-like.

So.. you'd need a fast iterating, cost optimized constellation with other compelling features .. say.. 'free with prime'. Which... is shooting themselves in the foot by not using SpX launchers.
 

Anacher

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Falcon 9 resupply mish to the ISS in ten minutes, if anyone's bored. (It beats Thursday Night Football for sure.)

edit: Successful launch and RTLS. Nice view of the 'nebula' resulting from the second stage and boostback exhaust plumes hitting each other.

I have a vested interest in that resupply mission. The ILLUMA optical terminal is on that mission. Turning the ISS into the death star.